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USA USA MLS · Trận đấu ·

New England vs Houston Dynamo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng40%
Hòa27%
Đội khách thắng33%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng40% selection probability
Projected score2–1New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
40% / 27% / 33%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Cơ hội kép1272.8%1.37
Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%Goals 2.5Xỉu51%1.96
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapNew England winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New England win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Hòa27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Houston Dynamo win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New England1.54

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%

Houston Dynamo1.10

Khách share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

New England

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Houston Dynamo

2.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Điểm11

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Thắng probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New England signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Houston Dynamo signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

New England vs Houston Dynamo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New England thắng 40%,Hòa 27%,Houston Dynamo thắng 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Tài 2.5 49% · Current selection Xỉu