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USA アメリカ MLS · 試合 ·

ニューイングランド vs ヒューストン・ダイナモ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–1ニューイングランドヒューストン・ダイナモ
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 27% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)ダブルチャンス1272.8%1.37
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.64 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapニューイングランド winDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ニューイングランド win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
引き分け27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
ヒューストン・ダイナモ win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ニューイングランド1.54

ホーム share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

ヒューストン・ダイナモ1.10

アウェイ share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ニューイングランド

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヒューストン・ダイナモ

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
ニューイングランドヒューストン・ダイナモ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ニューイングランド signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヒューストン・ダイナモ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

ニューイングランド vs ヒューストン・ダイナモ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ニューイングランド 勝ち 40%,引き分け 27%,ヒューストン・ダイナモ 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー