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USA USA - MLS · Partita ·

New England vs Houston Dynamo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score2–1New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 27% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Doppia Chance1272.8%1.37
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapNew England winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New England win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Houston Dynamo win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New England1.54

Casa share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Houston Dynamo1.10

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

New England

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Houston Dynamo

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New England signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Houston Dynamo signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

New England vs Houston Dynamo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New England vinta 40%,Pareggio 27%,Houston Dynamo vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto