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USA USA - MLS · Mecz ·

New England vs Houston Dynamo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score2–1New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 27% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Podwójna szansa1272.8%1.37
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapNew England winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New England win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Remis27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Houston Dynamo win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New England1.54

Gospodarze share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

Houston Dynamo1.10

Goście share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

New England

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Houston Dynamo

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New England signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Houston Dynamo signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

New England vs Houston Dynamo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New England wygrana 40%,Remis 27%,Houston Dynamo wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej