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USA USA MLS · Maç ·

New England vs Houston Dynamo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır40%
Beraberlik27%
Deplasman kazanır33%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır40% selection probability
Projected score2–1New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
40% / 27% / 33%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Çifte Şans1272.8%1.37
Üst 49% · Alt 51%Goals 2.5Alt51%1.96
Evet 53% · Hayır 47%Karşılıklı gol varEvet53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapNew England winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New England win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Beraberlik27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Houston Dynamo win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New England1.54

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 49% · Alt 51%

Houston Dynamo1.10

Deplasman share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 53% · Hayır 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

New England

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Houston Dynamo

2.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puan11

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New England signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Houston Dynamo signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

New England vs Houston Dynamo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New England kazanç 40%,Beraberlik 27%,Houston Dynamo kazanç 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · 2.5 Üst 49% · Current selection Alt