Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 33%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Double chance1272.8%1.37
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapNew England winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New England win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Draw27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Houston Dynamo win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58.3%
Total expected goals2.64Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 41.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchNew England
DWDLW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchHouston Dynamo
WWDDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
33%8
Points from supplied form
111.54
Expected goals
1.10New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
New England vs Houston Dynamo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
New England win 40%，Draw 27%，Houston Dynamo win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。