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USA USA - MLS · Match ·

New England vs Houston Dynamo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score2–1New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 27% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dubbelchans1272.8%1.37
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nej 47%Båda lagen gör målJa53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapNew England winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New England win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Houston Dynamo win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New England1.54

Hemma share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Houston Dynamo1.10

Borta share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nej 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

New England

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Houston Dynamo

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New England signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Houston Dynamo signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

New England vs Houston Dynamo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New England vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 27%,Houston Dynamo vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under