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USA USA MLS · Kamp ·

New England vs Houston Dynamo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier40%
Uavgjort27%
Borteseier33%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier40% selection probability
Projected score2–1New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
40% / 27% / 33%KampresultatHjemmeseier40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Dobbel sjanse1272.8%1.37
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.0%Largest probability gapNew England winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
New England win40%2.502.4039.7%+0.3 pp
Uavgjort27%3.703.5027.2%-0.2 pp
Houston Dynamo win33%3.032.8833.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New England1.54

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Houston Dynamo1.10

Borte share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

New England

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Houston Dynamo

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.54
Expected goals
1.10
New EnglandHouston Dynamo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New England signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Houston Dynamo signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

New England vs Houston Dynamo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New England vunnet 40%,Uavgjort 27%,Houston Dynamo vunnet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under