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BRA Brazilia - Serie A · Meci ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți18%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste72% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 22% / 18%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Șansă dublă1X82%1.22
Peste 72% · Sub 28%Goals 2.5Peste72%1.39
Da 61% · Nu 39%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Flamengo win60%1.67
Egal22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Gazde share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 72% · Sub 28%

Botafogo1.06

Oaspeți share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 61% · Nu 39%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalNu recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNu recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo câștig 60%,Egal 22%,Botafogo câștig 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Peste 2.5 72% · Current selection Peste