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BRA Brazil Serie A · Maç ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır60%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır18%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst72% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
60% / 22% / 18%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Çifte Şans1X82%1.22
Üst 72% · Alt 28%Goals 2.5Üst72%1.39
Evet 61% · Hayır 39%Karşılıklı gol varEvet61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
9.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Flamengo win60%1.67
Beraberlik22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 72% · Alt 28%

Botafogo1.06

Deplasman share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 61% · Hayır 39%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalHayır recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalHayır recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo kazanç 60%,Beraberlik 22%,Botafogo kazanç 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · 2.5 Üst 72% · Current selection Üst