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BRA Brasilien - Serie A · Match ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger60%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
60% / 22% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Dubbelchans1X82%1.22
Över 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Över72%1.39
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Flamengo win60%1.67
Oavgjort22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Hemma share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 72% · Under 28%

Botafogo1.06

Borta share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo vunnen 60%,Oavgjort 22%,Botafogo vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Över 2.5 72% · Current selection Över