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BRA Brazilië - Serie A · Wedstrijd ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst18%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 22% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Dubbele Kans1X82%1.22
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Flamengo win60%1.67
Gelijkspel22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Thuis share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%

Botafogo1.06

Uit share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 22%,Botafogo gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven