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BRA Brazilië - Serie A · Wedstrijd ·

Mirassol vs Palmeiras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst26%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst45%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst45% selection probability
Projected score1–2MirassolPalmeiras
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
26% / 28% / 45%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (26.2%)Dubbele KansX273.8%1.36
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Mirassol win26%3.85
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Palmeiras win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol0.99

Thuis share of expected goals 38.1%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

Palmeiras1.61

Uit share of expected goals 61.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Mirassol

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Palmeiras

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
45%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.99
Expected goals
1.61
MirassolPalmeiras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palmeiras signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mirassol vs Palmeiras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol gewonnen 26%,Gelijkspel 28%,Palmeiras gewonnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder