Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 28% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (26.2%)Double chanceX273.8%1.36
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Mirassol win26%3.85
Draw28%3.57
Palmeiras win45%2.22
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 38.1%
Total expected goals2.60Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%
Away share of expected goals 61.9%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchMirassol
DLLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchPalmeiras
WLDLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
26%
Win probability excluding draw
45%2
Points from supplied form
70.99
Expected goals
1.61MirassolPalmeiras
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Mirassol vs Palmeiras FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Mirassol win 26%，Draw 28%，Palmeiras win 45%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under。