Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 28% / 25%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional win (24.9%)Double chance1X75.1%1.33
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Bahia win47%2.13
Draw28%3.57
Internacional win25%4.00
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 63.7%
Total expected goals2.56Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%
Away share of expected goals 36.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBahia
WDDDD
Played5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Points7
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchInternacional
DDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
25%7
Points from supplied form
61.63
Expected goals
0.93BahiaInternacional
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Bahia vs Internacional FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bahia win 47%，Draw 28%，Internacional win 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under。