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BRA Brasilien - Serie A · Spiel ·

Bahía vs Internacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg25%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1BahíaInternacional
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 28% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional win (24.9%)Doppelte Chance1X75.1%1.33
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 49% · Nein 51%Beide Teams treffenNein51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Bahía win47%2.13
Unentschieden28%3.57
Internacional win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bahía1.63

Heim share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Internacional0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nein 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Bahía

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punkte7

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Internacional

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.63
Expected goals
0.93
BahíaInternacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bahía signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bahía vs Internacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bahía Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 28%,Internacional Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter