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BRA Бразилия - Серия A · Матч ·

Баия vs Интернэшнл

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score2–1БаияИнтернэшнл
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 28% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Интернэшнл win (24.9%)Двойной шанс1X75.1%1.33
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Баия win47%2.13
Ничья28%3.57
Интернэшнл win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Баия1.63

Хозяева share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Интернэшнл0.93

Гости share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Баия

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Баллы7

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Интернэшнл

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.63
Expected goals
0.93
БаияИнтернэшнл
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Баия signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Интернэшнл signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Баия vs Интернэшнл FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Баия выигрыш 47%,Ничья 28%,Интернэшнл выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше