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BRA Brazilië - Serie A · Wedstrijd ·

Bahia vs Internacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score2–1BahiaInternacional
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 28% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional win (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1X75.1%1.33
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.56 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Bahia win47%2.13
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Internacional win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bahia1.63

Thuis share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Internacional0.93

Uit share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Bahia

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Internacional

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.63
Expected goals
0.93
BahiaInternacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bahia signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Bahia vs Internacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bahia gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 28%,Internacional gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder