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BRA Бразилия - Серия A · Матч ·

Flamengo vs Ботафого

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoБотафого
Expected goals3.76Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше72% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 22% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботафого win (18%)Двойной шанс1X82%1.22
Больше 72% · Меньше 28%Goals 2.5Больше72%1.39
Да 61% · Нет 39%Обе забьютДа61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Flamengo win60%1.67
Ничья22%4.55
Ботафого win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 72% · Меньше 28%

Ботафого1.06

Гости share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Нет 39%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ботафого

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalНет recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoБотафого
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботафого signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Ботафого FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo выигрыш 60%,Ничья 22%,Ботафого выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · ТБ 2.5 72% · Current selection Больше