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BRA Brasil - Série A · Partida ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa60%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante18%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima72% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
60% / 22% / 18%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Dupla Chance1X82%1.22
Acima 72% · Abaixo 28%Goals 2.5Acima72%1.39
Sim 61% · Não 39%Ambas as equipes marcamSim61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Flamengo win60%1.67
Empate22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Mandante share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 72% · Abaixo 28%

Botafogo1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 61% · Não 39%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo ganhou 60%,Empate 22%,Botafogo ganhou 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Acima 2.5 72% · Current selection Acima