Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 22% / 18%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Double chance1X82%1.22
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Flamengo win60%1.67
Draw22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71.8%
Total expected goals3.76Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%
Away share of expected goals 28.2%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchFlamengo
LWWDD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchBotafogo
LWLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
18%8
Points from supplied form
42.70
Expected goals
1.06FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Flamengo win 60%，Draw 22%，Botafogo win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.76 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over。