Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 28% / 21%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santos win (20.7%)Double chance1X79.3%1.26
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapCorinthians winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians win51%1.961.8051.4%-0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Santos win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.2%
Total expected goals2.46Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%
Away share of expected goals 37.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCorinthians
LLWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSantos
DDWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
21%6
Points from supplied form
81.53
Expected goals
0.93CorinthiansSantos
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Corinthians vs Santos FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Corinthians win 51%，Draw 28%，Santos win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.46 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under。