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BRA Brazil Serie A · Kamp ·

Corinthians vs Santos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier51%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier21%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CorinthiansSantos
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
51% / 28% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santos win (20.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X79.3%1.26
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 48% · Nei 52%Begge lag scorerNei52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapCorinthians winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians win51%1.961.8051.4%-0.4 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Santos win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians1.53

Hjemme share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Santos0.93

Borte share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nei 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Corinthians

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Santos

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
CorinthiansSantos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Corinthians vs Santos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians vunnet 51%,Uavgjort 28%,Santos vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under