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BRA Brésil - Série A · Match ·

Corinthians vs Santos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile51%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile51% selection probability
Projected score2–1CorinthiansSantos
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
51% / 28% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santos win (20.7%)Double chance1X79.3%1.26
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.46 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.1%Largest probability gapCorinthians winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians win51%1.961.8051.4%-0.4 pp
Nul28%3.573.3028%0.0 pp
Santos win21%4.764.5020.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians1.53

Domicile share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

Santos0.93

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Corinthians

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Santos

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.53
Expected goals
0.93
CorinthiansSantos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Corinthians vs Santos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians victoire 51%,Nul 28%,Santos victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de