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BRA Brésil - Série A · Match ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de72% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 22% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Double chance1X82%1.22
Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%Goals 2.5Plus de72%1.39
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Flamengo win60%1.67
Nul22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Domicile share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%

Botafogo1.06

Extérieur share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo victoire 60%,Nul 22%,Botafogo victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Plus de 2.5 72% · Current selection Plus de