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BRA Brasile - Serie A · Partita ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa60%
Pareggio22%
Vittoria ospite18%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra72% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
60% / 22% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Doppia Chance1X82%1.22
Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%Goals 2.5Sopra72%1.39
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Flamengo win60%1.67
Pareggio22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Casa share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 72% · Sotto 28%

Botafogo1.06

Trasferta share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo vinta 60%,Pareggio 22%,Botafogo vinta 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Sopra 2.5 72% · Current selection Sopra