Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
61% / 23% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chapecoense win (16.2%)Doppia Chance1X83.8%1.19
Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%Goals 2.5Sopra59%1.69
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì54%1.85
3.04 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapGremio winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gremio win61%1.641.5560.3%+0.7 pp
Pareggio23%4.354.0023.4%-0.4 pp
Chapecoense win16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 69.1%
Total expected goals3.04Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 59% · Sotto 41%
Trasferta share of expected goals 30.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchGremio
LLWWD
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchChapecoense
WDLLD
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5
SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
61%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
52.10
Expected goals
0.94GremioChapecoense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Gremio vs Chapecoense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Gremio vinta 61%，Pareggio 23%，Chapecoense vinta 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.04 · Sopra 2.5 59% · Current selection Sopra。