Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
61% / 23% / 16%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chapecoense win (16.2%)Double chance1X83.8%1.19
Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%Goals 2.5Plus de59%1.69
Oui 54% · Non 46%Les deux équipes marquentOui54%1.85
3.04 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapGremio winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gremio win61%1.641.5560.3%+0.7 pp
Nul23%4.354.0023.4%-0.4 pp
Chapecoense win16%6.255.7516.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 69.1%
Total expected goals3.04Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%
Extérieur share of expected goals 30.9%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 54% · Non 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchGremio
LLWWD
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchChapecoense
WDLLD
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
61%
Gagné probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
52.10
Expected goals
0.94GremioChapecoense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Gremio vs Chapecoense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Gremio victoire 61%，Nul 23%，Chapecoense victoire 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.04 · Plus de 2.5 59% · Current selection Plus de。