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BRA Brazylia - Serie A · Mecz ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy60%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości18%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej72% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
60% / 22% / 18%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Podwójna szansa1X82%1.22
Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%Goals 2.5Powyżej72%1.39
Tak 61% · Nie 39%Obie drużyny strzeląTak61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Flamengo win60%1.67
Remis22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Gospodarze share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%

Botafogo1.06

Goście share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 61% · Nie 39%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo wygrana 60%,Remis 22%,Botafogo wygrana 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Powyżej 2.5 72% · Current selection Powyżej