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BRA Бразилия - Серия A · Матч ·

Мирасол vs Палмейрас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев26%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей45%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей45% selection probability
Projected score1–2МирасолПалмейрас
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
26% / 28% / 45%Исход матчаПобеда гостей45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мирасол win (26.2%)Двойной шансX273.8%1.36
Больше 48% · Меньше 52%Goals 2.5Меньше52%1.92
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Мирасол win26%3.85
Ничья28%3.57
Палмейрас win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мирасол0.99

Хозяева share of expected goals 38.1%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 48% · Меньше 52%

Палмейрас1.61

Гости share of expected goals 61.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Мирасол

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Палмейрас

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
45%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.99
Expected goals
1.61
МирасолПалмейрас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мирасол signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Палмейрас signalГости clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Мирасол vs Палмейрас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мирасол выигрыш 26%,Ничья 28%,Палмейрас выигрыш 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · ТБ 2.5 48% · Current selection Меньше