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BRA Brazilia - Serie A · Meci ·

Mirassol vs Palmeiras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde26%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți45%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți45% selection probability
Projected score1–2MirassolPalmeiras
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub52% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
26% / 28% / 45%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (26.2%)Șansă dublăX273.8%1.36
Peste 48% · Sub 52%Goals 2.5Sub52%1.92
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.3 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Mirassol win26%3.85
Egal28%3.57
Palmeiras win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol0.99

Gazde share of expected goals 38.1%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 48% · Sub 52%

Palmeiras1.61

Oaspeți share of expected goals 61.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Mirassol

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Palmeiras

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Câștig probability excluding draw
45%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.99
Expected goals
1.61
MirassolPalmeiras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palmeiras signalOaspeți clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mirassol vs Palmeiras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol câștig 26%,Egal 28%,Palmeiras câștig 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Peste 2.5 48% · Current selection Sub