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BRA Brazílie - Serie A · Zápas ·

Mirassol vs Palmeiras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích26%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů45%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů45% selection probability
Projected score1–2MirassolPalmeiras
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně52% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
26% / 28% / 45%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (26.2%)Dvojitá šanceX273.8%1.36
Více 48% · Méně 52%Goals 2.5Méně52%1.92
Ano 51% · Ne 49%Oba týmy skórujíAno51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–2
10.3 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Mirassol win26%3.85
Remíza28%3.57
Palmeiras win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol0.99

Domácí share of expected goals 38.1%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 48% · Méně 52%

Palmeiras1.61

Hosté share of expected goals 61.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitAno 51% · Ne 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Mirassol

0.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Palmeiras

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalHosté clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Výhra probability excluding draw
45%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.99
Expected goals
1.61
MirassolPalmeiras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol signalHosté matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palmeiras signalHosté clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mirassol vs Palmeiras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol výhra 26%,Remíza 28%,Palmeiras výhra 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Více 2.5 48% · Current selection Méně