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BRA Brasilien - Serie A · Match ·

Mirassol vs Palmeiras

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.60 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger26%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger45%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger45% selection probability
Projected score1–2MirassolPalmeiras
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
26% / 28% / 45%MatchresultatBortaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (26.2%)DubbelchansX273.8%1.36
Över 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.3 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Mirassol win26%3.85
Oavgjort28%3.57
Palmeiras win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mirassol0.99

Hemma share of expected goals 38.1%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 48% · Under 52%

Palmeiras1.61

Borta share of expected goals 61.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Mirassol

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Palmeiras

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
45%
2
Points from supplied form
7
0.99
Expected goals
1.61
MirassolPalmeiras
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mirassol signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Palmeiras signalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mirassol vs Palmeiras FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mirassol vunnen 26%,Oavgjort 28%,Palmeiras vunnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Över 2.5 48% · Current selection Under