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BRA Brazil Serie A · Trận đấu ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng60%
Hòa22%
Đội khách thắng18%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài72% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
60% / 22% / 18%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Cơ hội kép1X82%1.22
Tài 72% · Xỉu 28%Goals 2.5Tài72%1.39
Có 61% · Không 39%Cả hai đội ghi bàn61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–1
9.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Flamengo win60%1.67
Hòa22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 72% · Xỉu 28%

Botafogo1.06

Khách share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 61% · Không 39%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalKhông recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Thắng probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalKhông recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo thắng 60%,Hòa 22%,Botafogo thắng 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Tài 2.5 72% · Current selection Tài