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BRA Brazília - Serie A · Zápas ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich60%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostí18%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac72% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
60% / 22% / 18%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Dvojitá šanca1X82%1.22
Viac 72% · Menej 28%Goals 2.5Viac72%1.39
Áno 61% · Nie 39%Oba tímy skórujúÁno61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Flamengo win60%1.67
Remíza22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Domáci share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 72% · Menej 28%

Botafogo1.06

Hostia share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitÁno 61% · Nie 39%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo výhra 60%,Remíza 22%,Botafogo výhra 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Viac 2.5 72% · Current selection Viac