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BRA Brazílie - Serie A · Zápas ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích60%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostů18%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více72% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
60% / 22% / 18%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Dvojitá šance1X82%1.22
Více 72% · Méně 28%Goals 2.5Více72%1.39
Ano 61% · Ne 39%Oba týmy skórujíAno61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsPřesné skóre3–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Flamengo win60%1.67
Remíza22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Domácí share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 72% · Méně 28%

Botafogo1.06

Hosté share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitAno 61% · Ne 39%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalNe recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNe recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo výhra 60%,Remíza 22%,Botafogo výhra 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Více 2.5 72% · Current selection Více