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BRA Brasilien - Serie A · Spiel ·

Flamengo vs Botafogo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg60%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoBotafogo
Expected goals3.76Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
60% / 22% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botafogo win (18%)Doppelte Chance1X82%1.22
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 61% · Nein 39%Beide Teams treffenJa61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Flamengo win60%1.67
Unentschieden22%4.55
Botafogo win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Heim share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

Botafogo1.06

Auswärts share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nein 39%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Botafogo

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoBotafogo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botafogo signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Botafogo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo Gewinn 60%,Unentschieden 22%,Botafogo Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über