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BRA Бразилия - Серия А · Мач ·

Flamengo vs Ботафого

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–13.76 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен22%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score3–1FlamengoБотафого
Expected goals3.76Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над72% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 22% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботафого win (18%)Двоен шанс1X82%1.22
Над 72% · Под 28%Goals 2.5Над72%1.39
Да 61% · Не 39%И двата отбора да отбележатДа61%1.64
3.76 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Flamengo win60%1.67
Равен22%4.55
Ботафого win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Flamengo2.70

Домакин share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals3.76Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 72% · Под 28%

Ботафого1.06

Гост share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 61% · Не 39%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Flamengo

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ботафого

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalНе recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
8
Points from supplied form
4
2.70
Expected goals
1.06
FlamengoБотафого
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Flamengo signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботафого signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Flamengo vs Ботафого FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Flamengo печеливш 60%,Равен 22%,Ботафого печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Над 2.5 72% · Current selection Над