Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
35% / 30% / 35%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Dupla Chance1270.2%1.42
Acima 25% · Abaixo 75%Goals 2.5Abaixo75%1.33
Sim 33% · Não 67%Ambas as equipes marcamNão67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin13.4%Largest probability gapSporting Covilhã winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting Covilhã win35%2.862.4536%-1.0 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.4%+0.6 pp
UD Santarem win35%2.862.5534.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Mandante share of expected goals 43.6%
Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Acima 25% · Abaixo 75%
Visitante share of expected goals 56.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 33% · Não 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Mandante-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSporting Covilhã
DDLWW
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8
SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Santarem
DDLDD
Jogos5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontos4
SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
35%8
Points from supplied form
40.75
Expected goals
0.97Sporting CovilhãUD Santarem
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Sporting Covilhã vs UD Santarem FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Covilhã ganhou 35%，Empate 30%，UD Santarem ganhou 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.72 · Acima 2.5 25% · Current selection Abaixo。