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INT Portugal - 3.ª Liga · Partida ·

CD Trofense vs Varzim

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa37%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante33%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD TrofenseVarzim
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
37% / 30% / 33%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Dupla Chance1269.8%1.43
Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%Goals 2.5Abaixo71%1.41
Sim 38% · Não 62%Ambas as equipes marcamNão62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCD Trofense winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Trofense win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Varzim win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Trofense0.94

Mandante share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%

Varzim0.94

Visitante share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 38% · Não 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CD Trofense

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Varzim

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.94
Expected goals
0.94
CD TrofenseVarzim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Trofense signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varzim signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

CD Trofense vs Varzim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Trofense ganhou 37%,Empate 30%,Varzim ganhou 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Acima 2.5 29% · Current selection Abaixo