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INT ポルトガル リーガ3 · 試合 ·

トロフェンセ vs ヴァルジン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1トロフェンセヴァルジン
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 30% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)ダブルチャンス1269.8%1.43
オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%Goals 2.5アンダー71%1.41
はい 38% · いいえ 62%両チーム得点いいえ62%1.61
1.88 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapトロフェンセ winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
トロフェンセ win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
ヴァルジン win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

トロフェンセ0.94

ホーム share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%

ヴァルジン0.94

アウェイ share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 38% · いいえ 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

トロフェンセ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヴァルジン

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.94
Expected goals
0.94
トロフェンセヴァルジン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01トロフェンセ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヴァルジン signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

トロフェンセ vs ヴァルジン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

トロフェンセ 勝ち 37%,引き分け 30%,ヴァルジン 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · オーバー 2.5 29% · Current selection アンダー