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INT ポルトガル リーガ3 · 試合 ·

CF Os Belenenses vs カルダスSC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利58%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利16%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Os BelenensesカルダスSC
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
58% / 25% / 16%試合結果ホーム勝利58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes カルダスSC win (16.1%)ダブルチャンス1X83.9%1.19
オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%Goals 2.5オーバー53%1.89
はい 46% · いいえ 54%両チーム得点いいえ54%1.85
2.79 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Belenenses win58%1.721.5757.7%+0.3 pp
引き分け25%4.003.5025.9%-0.9 pp
カルダスSC win16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Belenenses2.04

ホーム share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 53% · アンダー 47%

カルダスSC0.75

アウェイ share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 46% · いいえ 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CF Os Belenenses

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

カルダスSC

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
勝ち probability excluding draw
16%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.75
CF Os BelenensesカルダスSC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Belenenses signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02カルダスSC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

CF Os Belenenses vs カルダスSC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Belenenses 勝ち 58%,引き分け 25%,カルダスSC 勝ち 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · オーバー 2.5 53% · Current selection オーバー