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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Match ·

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger58%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger16%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
58% / 25% / 16%MatchresultatHemmaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Caldas SC win (16.1%)Dubbelchans1X83.9%1.19
Över 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Över53%1.89
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Belenenses win58%1.721.5757.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.5025.9%-0.9 pp
Caldas SC win16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Belenenses2.04

Hemma share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 53% · Under 47%

Caldas SC0.75

Borta share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CF Os Belenenses

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
16%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.75
CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Belenenses signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caldas SC signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Belenenses vunnen 58%,Oavgjort 25%,Caldas SC vunnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Över 2.5 53% · Current selection Över