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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Match ·

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbon
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 29% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dubbelchans1270.6%1.42
Över 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Båda lagen gör målNej63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Atletico CP Lisbon win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitano GC Evora0.90

Hemma share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 29% · Under 71%

Atletico CP Lisbon0.97

Borta share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Lusitano GC Evora

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Atletico CP Lisbon

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.90
Expected goals
0.97
Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitano GC Evora signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico CP Lisbon signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitano GC Evora vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 29%,Atletico CP Lisbon vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Över 2.5 29% · Current selection Under