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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Wedstrijd ·

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst30%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbon
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 29% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Dubbele Kans1270.6%1.42
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 37% · Nee 63%Beide teams scorenNee63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Atletico CP Lisbon win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitano GC Evora0.90

Thuis share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Atletico CP Lisbon0.97

Uit share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nee 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lusitano GC Evora

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Atletico CP Lisbon

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.90
Expected goals
0.97
Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitano GC Evora signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico CP Lisbon signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitano GC Evora gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 29%,Atletico CP Lisbon gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder