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INT Portogallo - Liga 3 · Partita ·

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbona

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite30%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbona
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 29% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Doppia Chance1270.6%1.42
Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%Goals 2.5Sotto71%1.41
Sì 37% · No 63%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Atletico CP Lisbona win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitano GC Evora0.90

Casa share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%

Atletico CP Lisbona0.97

Trasferta share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lusitano GC Evora

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Atletico CP Lisbona

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.90
Expected goals
0.97
Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitano GC Evora signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico CP Lisbona signalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitano GC Evora vinta 40%,Pareggio 29%,Atletico CP Lisbona vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Sopra 2.5 29% · Current selection Sotto