Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 29% / 30%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Double chance1270.6%1.42
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Atletico CP Lisbon win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.1%
Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%
Away share of expected goals 51.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchLusitano GC Evora
LWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAtletico CP Lisbon
LWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
30%10
Points from supplied form
60.90
Expected goals
0.97Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbon
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lusitano GC Evora win 40%，Draw 29%，Atletico CP Lisbon win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.87 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under。