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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Trận đấu ·

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng40%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng30%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbon
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu71% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
40% / 29% / 30%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Cơ hội kép1270.6%1.42
Tài 29% · Xỉu 71%Goals 2.5Xỉu71%1.41
Có 37% · Không 63%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Hòa29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Atletico CP Lisbon win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitano GC Evora0.90

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 29% · Xỉu 71%

Atletico CP Lisbon0.97

Khách share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 37% · Không 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Lusitano GC Evora

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Atletico CP Lisbon

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Thắng probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.90
Expected goals
0.97
Lusitano GC EvoraAtletico CP Lisbon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitano GC Evora signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico CP Lisbon signalChủ nhà won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Lusitano GC Evora vs Atletico CP Lisbon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitano GC Evora thắng 40%,Hòa 29%,Atletico CP Lisbon thắng 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Tài 2.5 29% · Current selection Xỉu