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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Мач ·

Луситано Евора vs Атлетико Лисабон

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен29%
Победа за госта30%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Луситано ЕвораАтлетико Лисабон
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под71% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 29% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.4%)Двоен шанс1270.6%1.42
Над 29% · Под 71%Goals 2.5Под71%1.41
Да 37% · Не 63%И двата отбора да отбележатНе63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapЛуситано Евора winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Луситано Евора win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Равен29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Атлетико Лисабон win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Луситано Евора0.90

Домакин share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 29% · Под 71%

Атлетико Лисабон0.97

Гост share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Не 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Луситано Евора

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Атлетико Лисабон

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.90
Expected goals
0.97
Луситано ЕвораАтлетико Лисабон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Луситано Евора signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетико Лисабон signalДомакин won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Луситано Евора vs Атлетико Лисабон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Луситано Евора печеливш 40%,Равен 29%,Атлетико Лисабон печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Над 2.5 29% · Current selection Под