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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Мач ·

КФ Ос Белененсес vs СК Калдас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина58%
Равен25%
Победа за госта16%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина58% selection probability
Projected score2–1КФ Ос БелененсесСК Калдас
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над53% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
58% / 25% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes СК Калдас win (16.1%)Двоен шанс1X83.9%1.19
Над 53% · Под 47%Goals 2.5Над53%1.89
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
КФ Ос Белененсес win58%1.721.5757.7%+0.3 pp
Равен25%4.003.5025.9%-0.9 pp
СК Калдас win16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КФ Ос Белененсес2.04

Домакин share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 53% · Под 47%

СК Калдас0.75

Гост share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

КФ Ос Белененсес

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

СК Калдас

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.75
КФ Ос БелененсесСК Калдас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КФ Ос Белененсес signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02СК Калдас signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

КФ Ос Белененсес vs СК Калдас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КФ Ос Белененсес печеливш 58%,Равен 25%,СК Калдас печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Над 2.5 53% · Current selection Над